Publications & Media

Group members in bold; *Group student; **Group postdoc

• Ficklin, D.L., Touma, D., Cook, B.I., Wang, L., Robeson, S.M., Hwang, T., Scheff, J., Williams, A.P., Watson, H., Livneh, B., Tye, M.R., & Wang, L., 2024, Vegetation greening mitigates the impacts of increasing extreme rainfall on runoff events, Earth’s Future, doi: 10.1029/2024EF00466

• Kretschmer, M., Jezequel, A., Labe, Z. & Touma, D., 2024, A shifting climate: New paradigms and challenges for (early career) scientists in extreme weather research, Atmospheric Science Letters, doi: 10.1002/asl.1268 

• Pisor, A., Touma, D., Singh, D., & Jones, J.H., 2023, To understand climate change adaptation we must characterize climate variability. Here’s how, One Earth, 6(12). doi: 10.1016/j.oneear.2023.11.005

• Touma, D., Hurrell, J.W., Tye, M.R., & Dagon, K., 2023, The impact of stratospheric aerosol injection on extreme fire weather risk, Earth's Future, 11, e2023EF003626. doi: 10.1029/2023EF003626

• Kalashnikov, D.A., Abatzoglou, J.T., Nauslar, N.J., Swain, D.L., Touma, D., and Singh, D., 2022, Meteorological and geographical factors associated with dry lightning in central and northern California, Environmental Research: Climate, 1(2). doi: 10.1088/2752-5295/ac84a0

• Touma, D., Stevenson, S., Swain, D.L., Singh, D., Kalashnikov, D.A., & Huang, X. 2022. Climate change increases the risk of extreme rainfall after wildfire in the western United States, Science Advances, 8(13). 10.1126/sciadv.abm0320

Media coverage:

• • • Fires, Then Floods: Risk of Deadly Climate Combination Rises, New York Times (Apr 1, 2022)

    • Fire and rain: West to get more one-two extreme climate hits, Associated Press (Apr 1, 2022)

    • Double Disaster: Wildfires Followed by Extreme Rainfall Are More Likely with Climate Change, Scientific American (Apr 1, 2022)

    • Post-wildfire extreme rains to double in Western US, study says, The Hill (Apr 1, 2022)

    • Climate change may mean more extreme rain after wildfire in western US, New Scientist (Apr 1, 2022)

    • Climate study: Rising risk of wildfires and extreme rain overlapping dangerously by mid-century, KJZZ (Apr 1, 2022)

    • 'A year after year disaster:' The American West could face a 'brutal' century under climate change, USA Today (Apr 2, 2022)

    • Climate change raises risk of destructive combination of fire and floods: study, CBC News: The National (Apr 5, 2022)

• Stevenson, S., Coats S., Touma, D., Cole, J., Lehner, F., Fasullo, J., & Otto-Bliesner, B., 2022. 21st century hydroclimate: a new normal, with more frequent extremes, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 119(12). 10.1073/pnas.2108124119

• Niu, Y., Touma, D., Ting, M., Camargo, S.J., & Chen, R., 2022. Assessing heavy precipitation risk associated with tropical cyclones in China, in press, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology

• Touma, D., Stevenson, S., Lehner, F. & Coats, S., 2021, Human-driven greenhouse gas and aerosol emissions cause distinct regional impacts on extreme fire weather, Nature Communications, 12(212). 10.1038/s41467-020-20570-w

*upcoming corrigendum: results associated with LULC simulations are invalid

Media coverage

• • •  “Extreme Fire Weather”, The Current, University of California Santa Barbara (Jan 14, 2021) 

• Rastogi, D., Touma, D., Evans, K., & Ashfaq, M., 2020. Shift towards intense and widespread precipitation events over the United States by mid 21st century, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1029/2020GL089899

• Swain, D.L., Singh, D., Touma, D., & Diffenbaugh, N.S., 2020. Attributing extreme events to climate change: A new frontier in a warming world. One Earth, 2(6), doi: 10.1016/j.oneear.2020.05.011

• Touma, D., Stevenson, S., Camargo, S.J., Horton, D.E. & Diffenbaugh, N.S., 2019, Variations in the intensity and spatial extent of tropical cyclone precipitation. Geophys. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1029/2019GL083452.

Media coverage

• • • “In the eastern U.S., tropical storms that were once major hurricanes pose greatest threat of extreme rain”, Climate.gov, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (Jun 29, 2020)

    • “Wind and Water”, The Current, University of California Santa Barbara (Dec 3, 2019)

    • “Damaging Rains from Hurricanes Can Be More Intense after Winds Subside”, State of the Planet, Earth Institute, Columbia University (Dec 3, 2019)

• Sarhadi, A., Ausín, M. C., Wiper, M. P., Touma, D. & Diffenbaugh, N. S., 2018. Multidimensional risk in a nonstationary climate: Joint probability of increasingly severe warm and dry conditions. Science Advances, 4(11), doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aau3487

• Touma, D., Michalak, A.M., Swain, D.L. & Diffenbaugh, N.S., 2018. Characterizing the spatial scales of extreme precipitation over the US in the recent past. J. Clim., 31, 8023–8037. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0019.1. 

• Diffenbaugh, N. S., Singh, D., Mankin, J. S., Horton, D. E., Swain, D. L., Touma, D., Charland, A., Liu, Y., Haugen, M., Tsiang, M. & Rajaratnam, B., 2017. Quantifying the influence of global warming on unprecedented extreme climate events. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 114(19), 4881-4886. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1618082114

• Ashfaq, M., Rastogi, D., Mei, R., Kao, S.-C., Gangrade, S., Naz, B.S. & Touma, D., 2016. High-resolution ensemble projections of near-term regional climate over the continental United States J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 121, 9943-9963. doi: 10.1002/2016JD025285

• Ashfaq, M., Rastogi, D., Mei, R., Touma, D. & Leung, L.R., 2016. Sources of errors in the simulation of south Asian summer monsoon in the CMIP5 GCMs, Clim. Dyn. doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3337-7

• Alden, C. B., Miller, J. B., Gatti, L. V., Gloor, M. M., Guan, K., Michalak, A. M., van der Laan-Luijkx, I. T., Touma, D., Andrews, A., Basso, L. S., Correia, C. S. C., Domingues, L. G., Joiner, J., Krol, M. C., Lyapustin, A. I., Peters, W., Shiga, Y. P., Thoning, K., van der Velde, I. R., van Leeuwen, T. T., Yadav, V. & Diffenbaugh, N. S., 2016. Regional atmospheric CO2 inversion reveals seasonal and geographic differences in Amazon net biome exchange. Glob Change Biol. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13305

• Diffenbaugh, N.S., Swain, D.L. & Touma, D., 2015. Anthropogenic warming has increased drought risk in California. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1422385112

• Touma, D., Ashfaq, M., Nayak, M.A., Kao, S.-C., Diffenbaugh, N.S., 2015. A multi-model and multi-index evaluation of drought characteristics in the 21st century. J. Hydrol. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.12.011

• Ashfaq, M., Ghosh, S., Kao, S.-C., Bowling, L.C., Mote, P., Touma, D., Rauscher, S.A. & Diffenbaugh, N.S., 2013. Near-term acceleration of hydroclimatic change in the western U.S. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 118, 10,676–10,693. doi: 10.1002/jgrd.50816